February 18th – Thrilling Picks Select Picks
GULFSTREAM PARK THURSDAY FEB 18 2021
RACE 2
This race will end up with a chalky outcome, no surprise. Of the #2, 3, 5 our model points to the #5 and #2 as the stronger options. The predictive factors are: best fast track speed, last race class and Avg E2 pace.
HOW WE’RE BETTING
TRIFECTA
#2, 5
#1, 4, 3
#2, 3, 5
And
TRIFECTA
#2, 5
#2, 3, 5
#1, 4
And
$1 DOUBLE
r2 # 2, 5
r3 # 2, 6
$2 DOUBLE
r2 # 2, 5
r3 # 4
RACE 3
The #4 Hecules has the best lifetime speed, Best Speed Last 3 races, Best Speed at GP and the top Jockey. So yes, it is the legitimate favorite and the reason why we add the second double with an extra dollar to dutch the ticket.
RACE 4
#6 BrynBella has the speed advantage + Irad + Pletcher. What can go wrong? This race could go off-turf. Regardless of surface, we will use #1, 3, 4 along with #6 in our horizontal wagers.
RACE 5
Half the field consist of debut runners, none with pedigree that have been successful at this purse level first time out. Most of their trainers have never won a debut race at this purse level with fillies, other than Ron Spatz who trains #6 Jedi Jane.
The obvious choice for most bettors will be the ML favorite #4 Miss Mikaela who has a slight speed advantage and is the leader for lifetime earnings. Agreed, #4 is a the logical choice. We do have a model that hints #2 Sheza Happy Girl maybe the dark horse, the predictive factors used AVG E2 Pace, Turf Speed, Class Avg Last 3 Races
OUR 0.50 EARLY PICK 4
R2 #2, 3, 5
R3 #2, 4, 6
R4 #1, 3, 4, 6
R5 #2, 4, 6
cost: $54
