The Raven Run
Can we pad the bankroll some more in The Raven Run?
Last week we did a pretty nice job padding the Breeders’ Cup bankroll. If you are a TRACKING TRIPS member you swept both stakes at Keeneland and if you are a faithful reader of this column on AmWager you had Gina Romantica at a generous 9-2.
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Can we pad the bankroll a little more in The Raven Run at Keeneland?
I lean to a horse 12-1 on the morning line in a small field so the possibility is there.
Union Lake has speed from the rail but will have to carry it 7 not 6 furlongs. Johnny V has a knack for that, but I think she takes heat and gets beat.
Smash Ticket should provide plenty of that heat. She is fast and will likely gun with Carmouche. I don’t think 7 furlongs and the other speed help her at all.
Republic gets a nice set up in here and can benefit from that, but I think she is a cut below.
Last Leaf is a long shot with potential. She likes to win and knows how to do it. She likes 7 furlongs and gets the right set up. She will have to improve a bit, but it her second start in a new barn so that is a possibility.
Fingal’s Cave adds to the pace being contested and stalked.
Colorful Mischief is where I land. She should get a perfect stalking trip also getting the jump on the deeper closers. She loves 7 furlongs and had a rough trip between horses last out. I think she runs a big one in here.
Freedom Speaks goes turf to dirt and should also get a good trip. I like her, I just like Colorful Mischief better in here.
Wicked Halo is obviously capable. She is in really good form and will have to be dealt with and beat. I think we can do it.
Midnight Stroll should be running late but I think too late for the win.
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