February 12th – Thrilling Picks Select Picks
Sam Houston – Friday, February 12, 2021
The below outlines our thoughts behind the construction of a late PICK 4 and PICK 3 ticket for Friday night at Sam Houston Race Park.
RACE 6
Must Use # 8 Contenders # 1/1A, 6
#8 Pomeroy Haze has the Trainer/Jockey 2 yr advantage, present in 60% of past winners and 80% of past runners who earned 2nd place for this race profile.
RACE 7
Must Use #8 Contenders # 1, 4 50% of past winners ranked 1st for Percent of Horses Beat, this points to the chalk #8 American. Otherwise E2 pace and speed rank were the dominant factors in past races, so we look at #1 Drasario and #4 Centastic. Regardless, this race should produce a chalky outcome
RACE 8
Must Use #4, 8 Contenders #3, 9
Past winners for this race condition had ranked in the top four for Best Speed Last 3 and top four for Percent of Horses Beat. The #4 Lynah Rink is the only horse that meets both criteria. The #8 Zella Rose has the late pace advantage which is helpful and the #9 has the top jockey.
RACE 9
Must Use #1, 7, 9
For this race type, past horses that made the exacta ranked in the top four for both Earnings + Last Purse. The heavy ML favorite #6 Chicks Dig Munny doesn’t meet either criteria, however the #1, 7, 9 all do.
OUR TICKETS
PICK 4
r6 # 8, 6
r7 # 8
r8 # 4, 8, 9, 3
r9 # 1, 7, 9
cost $12
PICK 3
r6 # 8, 6, 1/1A
r7 # 8, 1, 4
r8 # 4, 8, 9
cost $13.50
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