Ellis Starr’s Blog

Via Borghese Stakes – Race 6 at Gulfstream Park- Post Time 2:39 PM Eastern Top win contenders:Treasure of War can absolutely run a lot better than her 15 to 1 starting odds suggest in this 11 furlong turf marathon. She’s...

Pulpit Stakes – Race 4 at Gulfstream Park- Post Time 1:38 PM Eastern Top win contenders:Congruent and Ari Gold both have the same probability to win, but the morning line odds of 6 to 1 on Congruent as compared to...

Stormy Liberal Stakes – Race 5 at Del Mar – Post Time 5:30 PM Eastern Top win contenders:Whatmakessammyrun oddly opens as the 4 to 1 second choice and although he is likely to go to post at lower odds, perhaps...

Central Park Stakes – Race 5 at Aqueduct – Post Time 1:46 PM Eastern Top win contenders:Let’s Go Big Blue won in a two turn turf race in his career debut this summer, showing a lot of talent when rallying...

Gio Ponti Stakes – Race 7 at Aqueduct – Post Time 2:44 PM Eastern Analysis & Top win contenders:Churchtown gets the ground saving rail, just missed by a neck in a nearly identical turf route stakes race when last seen,...

Smart Halo Stakes – Race 7 at Laurel – Post Time 2:41 PM Eastern Analysis & Top win contenders:Dissolute appears to be the speed of the speed and from the outside can clear any other horse and jockey who might...

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint – Race 3 at Keeneland – Post Time 11:50 AM Eastern Analysis & Top win contenders:The early pace will be hotly contested, and HOT, because Slammed (on the rail) has good early speed and...

Race 5 at Keeneland – Post Time 3:08 PM Eastern Top win contenders:General Jim fits this first allowance condition perfectly coming off a win on grass in his second career start, first on turf. Saez rides back and he gets...

Perryville Stakes – Race 6 at Keeneland – Post Time 3:40 PM Eastern Although Gunite may be the horse to beat, with three straight huge efforts in stakes, two of those graded including a win in the Amsterdam Stakes, and...