Ellis Starr’s Blog
Fire Plug Stakes – Race 6 at Laurel – Post Time 2:51 PM Eastern Factor It In opens as the 5 to 2 second choice but has a much higher probability to win then 2 to 1 morning line favorite...
Pasco Stakes – Race 6 at Tampa Bay Downs- Post Time 3:03 PM Eastern Top contenders:Loco Abarrio has won two in a row following a runner-up effort in his debut last October, the most recent of those wins a dominant...
Jerome Stakes – Race 8 at Aqueduct – Post Time 3:16 PM Eastern Top contenders:Lugan Knight has run in three one-turn races to date, not much different than this one-turn mile trip at Aqueduct, finishing in-the-money in all three races....
Suwannee River Stakes – Race 7 at Gulfstream Park – Post Time 3:09 PM Eastern Top contenders:Bay Storm is the KEY to making a profit in the race as she is exceptionally probable to win or finish second, as she’s...
Santa Anita Mathis Mile Stakes – Race 1 at Santa Anita – Post Time 2 PM Eastern Top win contenders:Handy Dandy shows up EVERY TIME he runs, especially this year in which he has seven first or second place finishes...
Via Borghese Stakes – Race 6 at Gulfstream Park- Post Time 2:39 PM Eastern Top win contenders:Treasure of War can absolutely run a lot better than her 15 to 1 starting odds suggest in this 11 furlong turf marathon. She’s...
Pulpit Stakes – Race 4 at Gulfstream Park- Post Time 1:38 PM Eastern Top win contenders:Congruent and Ari Gold both have the same probability to win, but the morning line odds of 6 to 1 on Congruent as compared to...
Stormy Liberal Stakes – Race 5 at Del Mar – Post Time 5:30 PM Eastern Top win contenders:Whatmakessammyrun oddly opens as the 4 to 1 second choice and although he is likely to go to post at lower odds, perhaps...